Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000054 0.000057 0.000060 0.000063 0.000066 0.000070
2025-04-13 0.000046 0.000049 0.000053 0.000057 0.000062 0.000067 0.000073
2025-04-20 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000061 0.000067 0.000075
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000043 0.000048 0.000054 0.000060 0.000068 0.000078
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000043 0.000048 0.000055 0.000062 0.000072 0.000083
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000074 0.000089
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000043 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097
2025-05-25 0.000035 0.000041 0.000047 0.000056 0.000066 0.000080 0.000098
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000039 0.000045 0.000054 0.000065 0.000079 0.000098
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000065 0.000081 0.000102
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000055 0.000067 0.000084 0.000108
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000066 0.000083 0.000108
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000064 0.000082 0.000108
2025-07-06 0.000028 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080 0.000107
2025-07-13 0.000026 0.000032 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000078 0.000107
2025-07-20 0.000025 0.000031 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000108
2025-07-27 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000061 0.000081 0.000115
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000062 0.000084 0.000121
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000049 0.000066 0.000090 0.000133
2025-08-17 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000064 0.000089 0.000133
2025-08-24 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000047 0.000063 0.000087 0.000132
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000063 0.000090 0.000137
2025-09-07 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000065 0.000093 0.000145